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Tuesday, May 5, 2009

SAFE: there has been no large-scale capital outflow phenomenon

By Zou himfr

It is stated that yesterday's State Administration of Foreign Exchange, deputy chief director of capital Sun lu jun in "the third seminar on cross-border investments of Chinese enterprises", said the total allotment of foreign capital inflows still uphold a certain amount, there has been no large-scale capital outflow phenomenon. Senior foreign exchange analyst at Bank of Ye yao ting said that the RMB exchange rate against the U.S. dollar in the second quarter will continue stable.

The summation of trade entry to to the mouth

5 consecutive months of negative growth or slow down

Sun lu jun analysis, from 2008 onwards, subject to international and domestic economic and financial situation, especially the further spread of the global financial crisis and deepening the impact of China's foreign exchange revenue and expenditure for a number of new situations and changes, mainly in overseas-funded The scale and pace of inflows has slowed down. Generally speaking, however, there has been no large-scale capital outflow phenomena. From the entire international balance of payments situation, despite the surplus of growth become more gentle, but still maintain a surplus.

Sun lu jun, the increase in the import and export trade surplus has declined. From 1-3 months of the situation can be seen that the import and export trade is the sum of 428.739 billion U.S. dollars, a decrease of 24.9% year-on-year, a trade surplus of 62.34 billion U.S. dollars. This is the second in November last year, China's import and export trade there for the first five months of negative growth. However, the import and export value in March, a decline in exports and imports rise, respectively, compared with the first two months of this year, a decrease of 6.3 percentage points and 4 percentage points .. 1 percentage point, from these basic data can be judged, China's import and export situation of some signs of improvement.

In supplement, the genuine utilization of foreign buying into is still sustaining a certain dimensions, but the development rate slowed down down. It is appreciated that in January this year to March, the genuine utilization of foreign capital to 21.78 billion U.S. dollars, up 2 .. 6% decline. From the ring than on the facts and numbers, since July 2008, the genuine use of foreign direct buying into has dropped. But in March from the genuine use of foreign buying into facts and numbers, the down turn was considerably smaller than the first two months of down turn, and in March the allowance of genuine use of foreign record 9-month high.

Foreign exchange reserves in March year-on-year increase of 6.7 billion U.S. dollars

Growth from the dimensions of the external liability position, still sustain a certain development rate. As of 9 at the end of 2008, China's foreign liability amounted to 441.952 billion U.S. dollars, comprising an boost of 18.29 per hundred at the end, of which short-term foreign liability balance of 280.043 billion U.S. dollars, comprising an boost of 27.24 per hundred at the end.

Sun lu jun at the identical time that development from foreign exchange reserves can furthermore glimpse that foreign exchange reserves proceeded to boost, but development slowing. 3 As of the end of 2009, foreign exchange reserves stood at 1.95 trillion U.S. dollars, an boost of 16.14%. Among them, in January this year to March, development in the homeland 7.7 billion U.S. dollars of foreign exchange reserves, foreign exchange reserves in March expanded by 41.7 billion U.S. dollars, expanded by more than 6.7 billion U.S. dollars. - 18762

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